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AYGAZ
Aygaz
Weekly Commentary

Our system posted BUY-IF . The previous SELL recommendation that was confirmed was made on 02.07.2010 (63) days ago, when the stock price was 6.25 . Since then AYGAZ has gained 7.20% .

The market considers a bullish attack but still hesitating to do so. The previous bullish pattern was not confirmed. According to our rules, it is by now null and void. However, a new bullish pattern is developing and another BUY-IF alert is issued. It is the time to repeat the homework. Sounds tedious? Well, earning money is not easy. Keep an eye on futures trading and digest all related news, events, economic data and the outlook of the world stock markets prior to and during the confirmation week.

This week will also be a moment of truth for the previous SELL signal. So a warning is in order. A confirmation means that signal system erred badly in the last signal. This failure amounts to missing a significant bullish opportunity. You can, however, ride on a back wagon of the bullish train by following the guidelines below.

We are posting daily the current confirmation status, but, still you must check if one of the following three confirmation cases hold or not:

Does the week open with an upward gap? Your benchmark is the weekly opening price. If the prices stay over this benchmark, go long.

Does the week open at a level, equal to or below the previous week’s close? The benchmark is that closing price. If prices during the week stay over this benchmark, go long. In both of the above cases, avoid buying if the prices during the week start coming below the benchmark.

Check also the rare case in which the week opens with a big downward gap but the week ends with a long white candlestick though still closing below the previous week's close. Such activity confirms the bullish alert and the benchmark is the closing price of the long white candlestick.

If one of these confirmation criteria is not met, or in case of a black candlestick or doji, the BUY-IF alert remains valid (without confirmation) postponing the confirmation search to the following week. Any long black candlestick following a BUY-IF alert, on the other hand, makes the signal void and invalid.

Do not consider any new short positions given the bullish alert and the recent bullish momentum. Short sellers must cover their positions to prevent further losses, especially if the market confirms the BUY-IF signal, in which case we owe you an apology about the previous SELL signal.

 
BUY-IF
Conformance Rating
6.70
0.00 0.00%
Candlestick Analysis
This Week's Patterns: White Spinning Top
Bullish Engulfing
Candlestick Pattern


This week a White Spinning Top was formed. This represents complete indecision between the bulls and the bears.
For more about this candlestick click here.

The last two week's candlestick pattern that is subject to confirmation is a Bullish Engulfing Pattern . This is a bullish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. However, its reliability is not very high and it requires confirmation.
For more about this pattern click here.


Technical Data
Week's Close 6.70
Week's Open 6.65
Previous Weekly Close 6.70
Previous Weekly Open 6.70
Change 0.00
% Change 0.00%
Volume 1,871,470
Week's High 6.80
Week's Low 6.55
20-Week Close M.A. 6.30
50-Week Close M.A. 5.86
20-Week Volume M.A. 3,664,946
 
Two-Year Signal History
Date          Price   Signal 100 YTL
Became
02.07.10 6.25    Sell 456
02.04.10 6.13    Buy 448
19.02.10 5.94    Sell 448
04.12.09 4.85    Buy 365
06.11.09 5.04    Sell 365
23.10.09 5.33    Buy 386
09.10.09 5.28    Sell 386
22.05.09 2.42    Buy 177
08.05.09 2.25    Sell 177
27.03.09 1.74    Buy 136
06.03.09 1.77    Sell 136
06.02.09 1.75    Buy 134
23.01.09 1.85    Sell 134
19.12.08 1.60    Buy 116
22.08.08 2.93    Sell 116
11.07.08 2.53    Buy 100
30.05.08 3.46    Sell 100
 
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